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Zarya Lugansk vs Rubin Yalta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zarya Lugansk host Rubin Yalta in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Zarya Lugansk have averaged 1.4 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Rubin Yalta's 1.55 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, Zarya Lugansk have won 0 to Rubin Yalta's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.69 - 1.38) back Rubin Yalta to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Zarya Lugansk
15%
Draws
40%
Rubin Yalta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zarya Lugansk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Zarya Lugansk haven't matched Rubin Yalta's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Zarya Lugansk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 17%
Rubin Yalta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarya Lugansk Rubin Yalta
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Rubin Yalta vs Zarya Lugansk
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarya Lugansk 48 / 100
Rubin Yalta 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarya Lugansk Rubin Yalta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarya Lugansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zarya Lugansk scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

Rubin Yalta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zarya Lugansk has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zarya Lugansk VS Rubin Yalta
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarya Lugansk

(Home)
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
19 Sept
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
1 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
12 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
05 Sept
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
29 Aug
Zarya Lugansk
4 : 0
Astrakhan
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Rubin Yalta

(Away)
03 Oct
Rubin Yalta
4 : 0
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
26 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
22 Sept
FC Sevastopol
3 : 1
Rubin Yalta
12 Sept
Kyzyltash
2 : 0
Rubin Yalta
29 Aug
Rubin Yalta
4 : 1
Maykop
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