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Zarya Lugansk vs Shahter Taganrog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Zakharov M.
64' Event
Reykhmen B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zarya Lugansk
20%
Draws
40%
Shahter Taganrog
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Shahter Taganrog have won more games recently than Zarya Lugansk.
  • Win probability leans Zarya Lugansk's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Zarya Lugansk Clean Sheet 15%
Shahter Taganrog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zarya Lugansk Shahter Taganrog
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.38 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.46 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Zarya Lugansk vs Shahter Taganrog
1:1
May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1
Shahter Taganrog vs Zarya Lugansk
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zarya Lugansk Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakharov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shahter Taganrog Compare

Top Goalscorer Reykhmen B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zarya Lugansk 66 / 100
Shahter Taganrog 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zarya Lugansk Shahter Taganrog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zarya Lugansk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zarya Lugansk scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Shahter Taganrog has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Zarya Lugansk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zarya Lugansk VS Shahter Taganrog
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zarya Lugansk

(Home)
10 Oct
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 2
Nart Cherkessk
03 Oct
FC Sevastopol
2 : 0
Zarya Lugansk
19 Sept
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
1 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
12 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 5
Zarya Lugansk
05 Sept
Zarya Lugansk
1 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
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Shahter Taganrog

(Away)
10 Oct
Shahter Taganrog
1 : 0
Spartak Nalchik
03 Oct
Kyzyltash
2 : 1
Shahter Taganrog
26 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
0 : 1
Rubin Yalta
19 Sept
Rostov 2
0 : 0
Shahter Taganrog
12 Sept
Shahter Taganrog
4 : 2
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 2
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