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Zatec vs SK Cernovice

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ustecky KP 2025/2026 game between Zatec and SK Cernovice finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zatec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Zatec
35%
Draws
17%
SK Cernovice
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zatec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Zatec carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Zatec's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Ustecky KP 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 79%
Over 4.5 Goals 36%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Zatec Clean Sheet 10%
SK Cernovice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zatec SK Cernovice
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.74 1.65
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Ustecky KP
Zatec vs SK Cernovice
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Ustecky KP
SK Cernovice vs Zatec
1:3
Apr 5, 2025 Ustecky KP
Zatec vs SK Cernovice
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Ustecky KP
SK Cernovice vs Zatec
3:1
Apr 27, 2024 Ustecky KP
SK Cernovice vs Zatec
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zatec 74 / 100
SK Cernovice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zatec SK Cernovice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zatec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zatec scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

SK Cernovice has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Zatec stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zatec VS SK Cernovice
2.25 Goals Scored 2.33
2 Goals Conceded 2.17
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 83%
75% Over 3.5 83%

Recent Form & Match History

Zatec

(Home)
26 Sept
Zatec
1 : 1
Dobromerice
19 Sept
Horni Jiretin
0 : 1
Zatec
12 Sept
Zatec
2 : 0
Modlany
05 Sept
Nestemice
1 : 1
Zatec
29 Aug
Zatec
4 : 0
Junior Decin
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SK Cernovice

(Away)
13 Jun
SK Cernovice
3 : 4
Tatran Kadan
06 Jun
Oldrichov
2 : 2
SK Cernovice
30 May
SK Cernovice
1 : 1
Banik Most - Sous B
23 May
Dobromerice
2 : 2
SK Cernovice
16 May
SK Cernovice
3 : 3
Junior Decin
Page 1 of 7