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Zawisza vs Kluczevia Stargard

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Zawisza play Kluczevia Stargard in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zawisza averaged 1.96 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Kluczevia Stargard averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.11 conceded. In past meetings, Zawisza won 2, Kluczevia Stargard won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 21, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Zawisza and 0.81 for Kluczevia Stargard. This points to a Zawisza double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Zawisza
16%
Draws
32%
Kluczevia Stargard
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Zawisza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Zawisza picked up more points recently compared to Kluczevia Stargard.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 26%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zawisza Kluczevia Stargard
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 20 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.96 1.61
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Zawisza
0:0
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Kluczevia Stargard
4:2
Jun 4, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Zawisza
2:3
Oct 30, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Kluczevia Stargard
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlowski F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Skorecki P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Marczak M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zawisza 52 / 100
Kluczevia Stargard 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zawisza Kluczevia Stargard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zawisza or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +18%
2.27
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zawisza attacking → ← attacking Kluczevia Stargard

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zawisza scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Kluczevia Stargard let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zawisza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kluczevia Stargard lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 41
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415