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Zawisza vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Szumilas W.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Zawisza and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zawisza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Zawisza
28%
Draws
22%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Zawisza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zawisza come out ahead of Polonia Sroda Wielkopol on wins alone.
  • Zawisza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zawisza Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 21 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Zawisza vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Zawisza
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol vs Zawisza
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Szumilas W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zawisza 49 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zawisza Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zawisza scored in 89% of their last 28 games.

Zawisza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Zawisza VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415