Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zawisza vs Swinoujscie

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Paczuk P.

AI Match Summary

Zawisza host Swinoujscie in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Zawisza have averaged 1.75 scored and 0.5 conceded recently, against Swinoujscie's 1.38 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Swinoujscie slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.94, favoring Zawisza. Zawisza in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Zawisza
6%
Draws
4%
Swinoujscie
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zawisza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zawisza has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Swinoujscie.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Zawisza.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 20%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zawisza Swinoujscie
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 22 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Swinoujscie
0:1
Oct 11, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Zawisza
1:0
May 4, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Swinoujscie
0:3
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Zawisza
2:3
Mar 16, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Zawisza
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zawisza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Paczuk P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zawisza 85 / 100
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zawisza Swinoujscie

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zawisza scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Swinoujscie let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Zawisza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Swinoujscie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zawisza VS Swinoujscie
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415