Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zawisza vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 Zdzisław Krzyszkowiak Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Kona M.
90'
Kolodziej S.
90'
Kolodziej S.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Zawisza and Unia Swarzedz finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zawisza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Zawisza
17%
Draws
13%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Zawisza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Zawisza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zawisza a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 16%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zawisza Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 24 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Unia Swarzedz
1:0
Sep 5, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Zawisza
0:0
Mar 29, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Zawisza
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Unia Swarzedz
3:2
Mar 23, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Zawisza vs Unia Swarzedz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kona M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zawisza 66 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zawisza Unia Swarzedz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zawisza scored in 91% of their last 32 games.

Zawisza went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Unia Swarzedz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Zawisza VS Unia Swarzedz
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415