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Stadium Background

Zawisza vs Zielona Gora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kona M.
(Penalty)
38'
Oczkowski M.
39' Event
Bargiel P.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Zawisza in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zawisza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Zawisza
30%
Draws
35%
Zielona Gora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Zawisza have won more games recently than Zielona Gora.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Zawisza taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zawisza Clean Sheet 16%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zawisza Zielona Gora
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 18 14
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.85 1.71
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division 2
Zawisza vs Zielona Gora
2:1
Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Zawisza vs Zielona Gora
0:0
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Zawisza vs Zielona Gora
2:0
May 11, 2011 Division 2 - West
Zawisza vs Zielona Gora
3:0
Oct 1, 2010 Division 2 - West
Zielona Gora vs Zawisza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zawisza Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozlowski F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Rutkowski B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zawisza 48 / 100
Zielona Gora 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zawisza Zielona Gora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zawisza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zawisza's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Zielona Gora has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Zawisza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zawisza VS Zielona Gora
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zawisza

(Home)
04 Oct
Zawisza
1 : 2
Ol. Grudziadz
18 Sept
Zawisza
0 : 0
Leczna
12 Sept
Hutnik Krakow
1 : 1
Zawisza
04 Sept
Stal Stalowa Wola
3 : 3
Zawisza
29 Aug
Zawisza
4 : 1
Legia II
Page 1 of 6

Zielona Gora

(Away)
10 Oct
Zielona Gora
0 : 2
Legia II
03 Oct
Sandecja Nowy S.
1 : 3
Zielona Gora
19 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 3
Pruszkow
11 Sept
R. Rzeszow
0 : 1
Zielona Gora
05 Sept
Zielona Gora
1 : 4
Swit Szczecin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pruszkow 10 7 2 1 23:12 23
2 Tychy 11 6 5 0 17:6 23
3 Leczna 11 6 2 3 21:13 20
4 Podhale Nowy Targ 11 5 3 3 22:20 18
5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Zawisza 10 4 4 2 17:13 16
7 Sandecja Nowy S. 11 4 4 3 15:12 16
8 Hutnik Krakow 10 4 3 3 16:13 15
9 Zielona Gora 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Chojniczanka 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 Ol. Grudziadz 10 4 3 3 13:16 15
12 Avia Swidnik 11 4 2 5 14:17 14
13 Stal Stalowa Wola 11 4 1 6 19:23 13
14 Legia II 10 4 0 6 20:17 12
15 Slask Wroclaw II 10 3 0 7 17:20 9
16 Kleczew 10 1 5 4 11:23 8
17 Swit Szczecin 11 2 2 7 11:25 8
18 R. Rzeszow 10 0 4 6 7:19 4
Promotion - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)