Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zebbug vs Qala Saints

Malta Malta

FA Trophy
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. The second leg ended 0-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zebbug
20%
Draws
34%
Qala Saints
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zebbug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Zebbug carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Zebbug are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Zebbug have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Qala Saints, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Zebbug Clean Sheet 10%
Qala Saints Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zebbug Qala Saints
Matches Played 34 17
Wins 8 5
Draws 5 0
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 1.21 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 FA Trophy
Zebbug vs Qala Saints
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zebbug 83 / 100
Qala Saints 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zebbug Qala Saints

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qala Saints has conceded goals in 88% of their last 17 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Zebbug found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (34 games).

Zebbug went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zebbug VS Qala Saints
0.5 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 67%
88% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Zebbug

(Home)
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1
Marsa
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
15 Mar
Zurrieq
3 : 3
Zebbug
08 Mar
Zebbug
0 : 2
Mgarr
Page 1 of 7

Qala Saints

(Away)
27 Feb
Qala Saints
1 : 2
Kercem Ajax
04 Jan
Qala Saints
0 : 2
Mgarr
06 Dec
Zebbug
0 : 5
Qala Saints
04 Feb
Qala Saints
0 : 3
Hibernians
12 Jan
Qala Saints
2 : 0
St. Andrews
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Tarxien -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghajnsielem -
Pembroke -
TBD -
TBD -
Valletta -
Hamrun -
TBD -
Victoria Hotspurs 3
Xaghra 1
Fgura -
TBD -
Sirens 1
Santa Lucia 2
Birkirkara -
TBD -
TBD -
Victoria Wanderers -
Pieta -
TBD -
TBD -
Mtarfa -
Floriana -
TBD -
TBD -
Marsaxlokk -
Zabbar -
TBD -
Melita 0
Xewkija 1
St. Andrews 3
Vittoriosa 0
TBD -
Gzira -
Hibernians -
TBD -
TBD -
Gudja -
Zebbug 0
Qala Saints 5
TBD -
Mgarr -
Mosta FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Mqabba FC -
Zurrieq -
TBD -
TBD -
Kercem Ajax -
Qormi 1
Balzan FC 4
Nadur 1
Birzebbuga 4
Sliema -
TBD -
TBD -
Swieqi -
Marsa -
TBD -
TBD -
Naxxar Lions -
1/16-finals
Tarxien 4
Ghajnsielem 0
Pembroke 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Victoria Hotspurs 0
Fgura 2
Santa Lucia 1
Birkirkara 3
Victoria Wanderers 1
Pieta 5
Mtarfa 0
Floriana 1
Marsaxlokk 0
Zabbar 1
Xewkija 0
St. Andrews 0
Gzira 2
Hibernians 3
Gudja 1
Qala Saints 0
Mgarr 2
Mosta FC 2
Mqabba FC 1
Zurrieq 4
Kercem Ajax 0
Balzan FC 1
Birzebbuga 2
Sliema 1
Swieqi 2
Marsa 0
Naxxar Lions 3
1/8-finals
Tarxien 0
Valletta 1
Hamrun 5
Fgura 0
Birkirkara 2
Pieta 0
Floriana 0
Zabbar 1
Gzira 3
Hibernians 2
Mgarr 0
Mosta FC 3
Zurrieq 3
Birzebbuga 0
Swieqi 2
Naxxar Lions 4
Quarter-finals
Valletta 3
Hamrun 1
Birkirkara 2
Zabbar 1
Gzira 2
Mosta FC 1
Zurrieq 1
Naxxar Lions 2
Semi-finals
Valletta 3
Birkirkara 1
Gzira 2
Naxxar Lions 1
Final
Valletta 2
Gzira 1