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Zejtun vs Zebbug

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Mallia J.
43' Event
Mifsud M.
54' Event
Perez J. M. A.

AI Match Summary

Zejtun in this Challenge League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zejtun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Zejtun
30%
Draws
54%
Zebbug
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zebbug

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Zejtun haven't matched Zebbug's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zejtun a 16% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Zejtun Clean Sheet 68%
Zebbug Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zejtun Zebbug
Matches Played 30 41
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 8
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.07 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.33 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2024 Challenge League
Zebbug vs Zejtun
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 Challenge League
Zejtun vs Zebbug
4:1
Aug 14, 2021 Club Friendly
Zebbug vs Zejtun
4:5
Feb 2, 2020 Challenge League
Zebbug vs Zejtun
1:1
Sep 14, 2019 Challenge League
Zejtun vs Zebbug
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zejtun Compare

Top Goalscorer Mallia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mifsud M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.18

Zebbug Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J. M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zejtun 50 / 100
Zebbug 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zejtun Zebbug

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zejtun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Zebbug conceded in 76% of 41 recent games.

Zejtun found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Zejtun stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zebbug
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Zejtun

(Home)
28 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 0
Zejtun
21 Apr
Zejtun
0 : 1
Swieqi
14 Apr
Fgura
1 : 1
Zejtun
05 Apr
Lija
1 : 0
Zejtun
17 Mar
Zejtun
1 : 1
Luqa
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Zebbug

(Away)
20 Sept
Naxxar Lions
3 : 1
Zebbug
13 Sept
Zebbug
0 : 4
Fgura
18 Apr
Zebbug
1 : 1
Marsa
11 Apr
Vittoriosa
0 : 1
Zebbug
04 Apr
Gudja
1 : 2
Zebbug
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zabbar 15 10 3 2 21:9 33
2 Melita 15 9 4 2 32:21 31
3 Senglea 15 8 5 2 20:9 29
4 Marsa 15 8 4 3 32:17 28
5 Pieta 15 8 3 4 23:13 27
6 Zurrieq 15 8 3 4 18:17 27
7 Fgura 15 8 2 5 32:25 26
8 Lija 15 6 4 5 26:24 22
9 Swieqi 15 5 6 4 18:16 21
10 Tarxien 15 3 8 4 16:14 17
11 Zejtun 15 4 5 6 17:18 17
12 Luqa 15 4 4 7 21:24 16
13 St. Andrews 15 3 2 10 14:28 11
14 Zebbug 15 2 4 9 11:27 10
15 Attard 15 1 5 9 14:33 8
16 Msida 15 2 0 13 9:29 6
Promotion - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2023/2024 (Relegation Group)