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Zeledon vs Cartagines

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Municipal Pérez Zeledón, San Isidro de El General
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Pereira M.
21'
Pereira M.
43' Event
Faerron F.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Zeledon and Cartagines finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zeledon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Zeledon
20%
Draws
61%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagines come out ahead of Zeledon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cartagines's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Zeledon Clean Sheet 15%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zeledon Cartagines
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Cartagines
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Cartagines
3:1
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Zeledon
1:0
Nov 25, 2025 Primera Division
Zeledon vs Cartagines
1:3
Sep 19, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Zeledon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zeledon Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Porras A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Cartagines Compare

Top Goalscorer Faerron F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zeledon 10 / 100
Cartagines 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zeledon Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zeledon's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cartagines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 36 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Zeledon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zeledon VS Cartagines
0.75 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zeledon

(Home)
19 Sept
Zeledon
1 : 2
Sporting FC
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
05 Sept
Herediano
2 : 3
Zeledon
30 Aug
Zeledon
1 : 1
Alajuelense
22 Aug
Puntarenas FC
1 : 0
Zeledon
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
30 Aug
Cartagines
1 : 0
Herediano
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)