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Zelezny Brod vs FC Pencin

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Liberecky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zelezny Brod play FC Pencin in the Liberecky KP 2025/2026. FC Pencin are favorites here. Recently, Zelezny Brod averaged 1.87 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. FC Pencin averaged 3.03 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Zelezny Brod won 0, FC Pencin won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Zelezny Brod and 2.81 for FC Pencin. This points to a FC Pencin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Zelezny Brod
22%
Draws
57%
FC Pencin
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Pencin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Zelezny Brod picked up more points recently compared to FC Pencin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 2.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Zelezny Brod Clean Sheet 10%
FC Pencin Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zelezny Brod FC Pencin
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 23
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 1.87 3.03
Goals Conceded 2.47 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liberecky KP
Zelezny Brod vs FC Pencin
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Zelezny Brod
5:1
Apr 12, 2025 Liberecky KP
Zelezny Brod vs FC Pencin
0:2
Sep 14, 2024 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Zelezny Brod
4:0
May 11, 2024 Liberecky KP
FC Pencin vs Zelezny Brod
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zelezny Brod 21 / 100
FC Pencin 53 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zelezny Brod FC Pencin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Pencin Win (2)
Secondary Pick FC Pencin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zelezny Brod attacking → ← attacking FC Pencin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zelezny Brod scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

FC Pencin let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Zelezny Brod went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Pencin lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 75
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75