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Zelzate vs Tienen

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Marchal A.
19' Event
Marchal A.
56' Event
Balongo N.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - VV 2025/2026 game between Zelzate and Tienen finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tienen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Zelzate
20%
Draws
80%
Tienen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tienen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Tienen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Tienen have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Zelzate Clean Sheet 10%
Tienen Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zelzate Tienen
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.56 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.22 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Zelzate vs Tienen
0:3
Oct 19, 2025 National Division 1 - VV
Tienen vs Zelzate
2:1
Aug 15, 2021 Belgian Cup
Zelzate vs Tienen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zelzate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Tienen Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchal A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Balongo N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zelzate 34 / 100
Tienen 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zelzate Tienen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tienen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zelzate found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Tienen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Difficult form: Tienen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zelzate VS Tienen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zelzate

(Home)
08 Aug
Zelzate
1 : 2
Genk U23
17 Jul
Zelzate
0 : 2
Sporting Lokeren
04 Jul
Zelzate
1 : 2
Waregem
26 Apr
Zelzate
2 : 3
Knokke
19 Apr
Belisia Bilzen
5 : 0
Zelzate
Page 1 of 6

Tienen

(Away)
23 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
KV Mechelen 2
07 Aug
Tienen
0 : 1
RWDM Brussels
01 Aug
Tienen
1 : 1
OC Charleroi
26 Apr
Tienen
1 : 1
Hoogstraten
19 Apr
Knokke
2 : 0
Tienen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hasselt 30 19 5 6 76:28 62
2 Knokke 30 19 4 7 56:44 61
3 SK Roeselare 30 15 9 6 52:33 54
4 Belisia Bilzen 30 15 7 8 62:43 52
5 Hoogstraten 30 14 9 7 54:42 51
6 Thes Sport 30 14 8 8 44:34 50
7 K. Lyra-Lierse 30 12 7 11 45:44 43
8 Dessel 30 11 6 13 61:65 39
9 Tienen 30 11 5 14 38:46 38
10 Cercle Brugge 2 30 10 8 12 41:53 38
11 Merelbeke 30 11 3 16 42:49 36
12 Zelzate 30 10 6 14 52:61 36
13 Leuven B 30 10 3 17 56:64 33
14 Houtvenne 30 8 7 15 40:53 31
15 Diegem 30 7 7 16 52:69 28
16 Ninove 30 5 4 21 40:83 19
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