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Zenit St Petersburg vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Gazprom Arena, Saint Petersburg
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Match Events

23' Event
Glushenkov M.
30'
Wendel
41'
Tananeev D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Zenit St Petersburg and Rodina Moscow finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rodina Moscow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Zenit St Petersburg
15%
Draws
18%
Rodina Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zenit St Petersburg come out ahead of Rodina Moscow on wins alone.
  • Model gives Zenit St Petersburg a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Zenit St Petersburg Clean Sheet 68%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg Rodina Moscow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 22 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 1.96 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Premier League
Zenit St Petersburg vs Rodina Moscow
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenit St Petersburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Glushenkov M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Rodina Moscow Compare

Top Goalscorer Gharibyan A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg 77 / 100
Rodina Moscow 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg Rodina Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zenit St Petersburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenit St Petersburg found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: Zenit St Petersburg stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Rodina Moscow has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Zenit St Petersburg VS Rodina Moscow
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenit St Petersburg

(Home)
10 Oct
Krasnodar
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
04 Oct
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0
BATE
27 Sept
Shanghai Shenhua
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Rodina Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)