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Zenit St Petersburg W vs CSKA Moscow W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russia Cup Women Akademiya Zenit pole 5, Saint Petersburg
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Matejic N.
46'
Sub
Yakovleva D. In: Achoyan M.
Out: Yakovleva D.
46'
Sub
Krajsumovic S. In: Kishmakhova D.
Out: Krajsumovic S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Zenit St Petersburg W
15%
Draws
42%
CSKA Moscow W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zenit St Petersburg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • CSKA Moscow W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • CSKA Moscow W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor CSKA Moscow W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Zenit St Petersburg W Clean Sheet 16%
CSKA Moscow W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenit St Petersburg W CSKA Moscow W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 22 25
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 3 2.59
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Russia Cup Women
CSKA Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
1:0
Aug 15, 2026 Russia Cup Women
Zenit St Petersburg W vs CSKA Moscow W
1:1
Jun 27, 2026 Supreme Division Women
CSKA Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 Supreme Division Women
Zenit St Petersburg W vs CSKA Moscow W
0:1
Oct 12, 2025 Russia Cup Women
CSKA Moscow W vs Zenit St Petersburg W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenit St Petersburg W Compare

Top Goalscorer Matejic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

CSKA Moscow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Smirnova N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenit St Petersburg W 31 / 100
CSKA Moscow W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenit St Petersburg W CSKA Moscow W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zenit St Petersburg W scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Zenit St Petersburg W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: CSKA Moscow W conceded in 41% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Zenit St Petersburg W VS CSKA Moscow W
3.25 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenit St Petersburg W

(Home)
03 Oct
Spartak Moscow W
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg W
19 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg W
3 : 0
Dynamo Moscow W
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg W
4 : 0
FK Rostov W
06 Sept
Rubin Kazan W
0 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg W
29 Aug
Ryazan W
0 : 3
Zenit St Petersburg W
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CSKA Moscow W

(Away)
27 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow W
1 : 3
CSKA Moscow W
19 Sept
FC Chertanovo Moscow W
0 : 4
CSKA Moscow W
11 Sept
CSKA Moscow W
1 : 0
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W
05 Sept
Zvezda 2005 W
0 : 6
CSKA Moscow W
29 Aug
CSKA Moscow W
4 : 1
Rubin Kazan W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Pari Nizhny Novgorod W 0
Spartak Moscow W 9
Rubin Kazan W 1
Dynamo Moscow W 4
FK Rostov W 0
Krasnodar W 1
Lokomotiv Moscow W 5
FK Yenisey Krasnoyarsk W 2
PFC Sochi W 0
Zenit St Petersburg W 10
Zvezda 2005 W 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara W 0
OSSH Chelyabinsk W 0
CSKA Moscow W 13
Ryazan W 2
FC Chertanovo Moscow W 1
Quarter-finals
Spartak Moscow W 2
Dynamo Moscow W 1
Krasnodar W 2
Lokomotiv Moscow W 3
Zenit St Petersburg W 9
Zvezda 2005 W 0
CSKA Moscow W 2
Ryazan W 1
Semi-finals
Spartak Moscow W 3
Lokomotiv Moscow W 6
Zenit St Petersburg W 1
CSKA Moscow W 2
Final
Lokomotiv Moscow W 1
CSKA Moscow W 3