Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025

San Marino Calcio

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zenith Prato play San Marino Calcio in the Serie D - Group D 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zenith Prato averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. San Marino Calcio averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. In past meetings, Zenith Prato won 0, San Marino Calcio won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 12, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Zenith Prato and 0.74 for San Marino Calcio. This points to a Zenith Prato double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Zenith Prato

23%

Draws

35%

San Marino Calcio

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Zenith Prato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Zenith Prato picked up more points recently compared to San Marino Calcio.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 0.74 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Zenith Prato Clean Sheet 27%

San Marino Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zenith Prato	San Marino Calcio
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	8
Draws	7	7
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.13	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.47	1.8

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Zenith Prato vs San Marino Calcio

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 3 - 4

0:2

Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group D

San Marino Calcio vs Zenith Prato

Possession: 48% - 58% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenith Prato Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

San Marino Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Passewe A.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenith Prato 43 / 100

San Marino Calcio 34 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zenith Prato San Marino Calcio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zenith Prato or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zenith Prato attacking → ← attacking San Marino Calcio

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zenith Prato scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

San Marino Calcio let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Zenith Prato went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Marino Calcio lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 31

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Forli FC	34	27	3	4	75:24	84
2	Ravenna	34	23	5	6	65:27	74
3	Lentigione	34	18	11	5	48:27	65
4	Tau	34	18	9	7	54:27	63
5	Pistoiese	34	18	7	9	45:23	61
6	Imolese	34	14	11	9	52:44	53
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	13	8	13	48:40	47
8	Piacenza	34	10	12	12	38:40	42
9	Prato	34	11	9	14	34:38	42
10	Tuttocuoio	34	10	12	12	32:43	42
11	SCD Progresso	34	10	11	13	24:32	41
12	San Marino Calcio	34	10	8	16	38:51	38
13	Sasso Marconi	34	9	10	15	39:51	37
14	Corticella	34	10	6	18	37:65	36
15	Sammaurese	34	7	10	17	27:37	31
16	Fiorenzuola	34	7	5	22	21:46	26
17	Zenith Prato	34	10	8	16	36:51	23
18	United Riccione	34	5	7	22	22:69	22