Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zenith Prato vs Sasso Marconi

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Montanaro P.
82' Event
Cellai B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 game between Zenith Prato and Sasso Marconi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Zenith Prato
35%
Draws
35%
Sasso Marconi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zenith Prato come out ahead of Sasso Marconi on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zenith Prato taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Zenith Prato Clean Sheet 19%
Sasso Marconi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zenith Prato Sasso Marconi
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Zenith Prato vs Sasso Marconi
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Sasso Marconi vs Zenith Prato
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zenith Prato Compare

Top Goalscorer Cellai B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sasso Marconi Compare

Top Goalscorer Montanaro P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zenith Prato 42 / 100
Sasso Marconi 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zenith Prato Sasso Marconi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zenith Prato scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Sasso Marconi conceded in 78% of 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Zenith Prato has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sasso Marconi
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Zenith Prato

(Home)
11 May
Zenith Prato
2 : 2
Piacenza
27 Apr
Imolese
5 : 1
Zenith Prato
17 Apr
Zenith Prato
1 : 1
Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
Pistoiese
0 : 1
Zenith Prato
06 Apr
Zenith Prato
0 : 0
Prato
Page 1 of 6

Sasso Marconi

(Away)
10 May
Imolese
0 : 2
Sasso Marconi
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sasso Marconi
1 : 1
Imolese
19 Apr
Sasso Marconi
2 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
12 Apr
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 0
Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Forli FC 34 27 3 4 75:24 84
2 Ravenna 34 23 5 6 65:27 74
3 Lentigione 34 18 11 5 48:27 65
4 Tau 34 18 9 7 54:27 63
5 Pistoiese 34 18 7 9 45:23 61
6 Imolese 34 14 11 9 52:44 53
7 Cittadella Vis Modena 34 13 8 13 48:40 47
8 Piacenza 34 10 12 12 38:40 42
9 Prato 34 11 9 14 34:38 42
10 Tuttocuoio 34 10 12 12 32:43 42
11 SCD Progresso 34 10 11 13 24:32 41
12 San Marino Calcio 34 10 8 16 38:51 38
13 Sasso Marconi 34 9 10 15 39:51 37
14 Corticella 34 10 6 18 37:65 36
15 Sammaurese 34 7 10 17 27:37 31
16 Fiorenzuola 34 7 5 22 21:46 26
17 Zenith Prato 34 10 8 16 36:51 23
18 United Riccione 34 5 7 22 22:69 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2024/2025 (Play Out)