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Zesco vs Al Masry

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zesco play Al Masry in the CAF Confederation Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zesco averaged 1.03 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Al Masry averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Zesco won 0, Al Masry won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Zesco and 0.81 for Al Masry. This points to a Al Masry double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zesco
26%
Draws
43%
Al Masry
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Al Masry

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Zesco picked up more points recently compared to Al Masry.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 0.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 18%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Zesco Clean Sheet 26%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 54%
Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Al Masry
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Al Masry vs Zesco
2:0
Nov 28, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Zesco vs Al Masry
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zesco Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouablan F. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musukuma P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Al Masry Compare

Top Goalscorer Hashem M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Temine M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 33 / 100
Al Masry 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Al Masry

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Masry or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +25.1%
4.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zesco attacking → ← attacking Al Masry

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zesco scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Masry let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Zesco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Masry lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 46
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1USM Alger64209:414
2Olympique de Safi64117:413
3Djoliba61145:74
4San Pedro61058:143
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wydad Athletic65019:215
2AS Maniema64028:312
3Azam63034:69
4Nairobi United60061:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CR Belouizdad650111:515
2Otoho d'Oyo630310:69
3Singida Black Stars61233:65
4Stellenbosch FC61232:95
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zamalek63216:411
2Al Masry63129:710
3Kaizer Chiefs63127:610
4Zesco61053:83