Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zesco vs Al Masry

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Hashem M.
5' Event
Kouablan F. M.
Assist: Chongo K.
24' Event
Temine M.

AI Match Summary

Al Masry in this CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Zesco
15%
Draws
27%
Al Masry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zesco lately — more wins on the board than Al Masry.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Zesco taking it.
  • Zesco have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Masry, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Zesco Clean Sheet 68%
Al Masry Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Al Masry
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Al Masry vs Zesco
2:0
Nov 28, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Zesco vs Al Masry
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zesco Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouablan F. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Musukuma P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Masry Compare

Top Goalscorer Hashem M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Temine M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 95 / 100
Al Masry 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Al Masry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zesco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Zesco stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Zesco scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Al Masry's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zesco VS Al Masry
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zesco

(Home)
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
20 May
Mines
1 : 2
Zesco
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Al Masry

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Masry
0 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
07 Sept
Petrojet
2 : 1
Al Masry
31 Aug
Al Masry
0 : 1
Pyramids
27 Aug
Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)
2 : 3
Al Masry
22 Aug
Al Masry
1 : 0
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USM Alger 6 4 2 0 9:4 14
2 Olympique de Safi 6 4 1 1 7:4 13
3 Djoliba 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
4 San Pedro 6 1 0 5 8:14 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wydad Athletic 6 5 0 1 9:2 15
2 AS Maniema 6 4 0 2 8:3 12
3 Azam 6 3 0 3 4:6 9
4 Nairobi United 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CR Belouizdad 6 5 0 1 11:5 15
2 Otoho d'Oyo 6 3 0 3 10:6 9
3 Singida Black Stars 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
4 Stellenbosch FC 6 1 2 3 2:9 5
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamalek 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
2 Al Masry 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Kaizer Chiefs 6 3 1 2 7:6 10
4 Zesco 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)