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Zesco vs Green Eagles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zesco host Green Eagles in the Super League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Zesco have averaged 0.97 scored and 0.9 conceded recently, against Green Eagles's 1.03 scored and 0.67 conceded. Head-to-head, Zesco have won 2 to Green Eagles's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on May 7, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 0.88) back Green Eagles to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Zesco
20%
Draws
28%
Green Eagles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Green Eagles carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Zesco taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Zesco Clean Sheet 20%
Green Eagles Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Green Eagles
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2026 Super League
Green Eagles vs Zesco
1:0
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Zesco vs Green Eagles
1:1
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
Green Eagles vs Zesco
0:1
Sep 11, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Green Eagles
0:0
Sep 11, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Green Eagles
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 40 / 100
Green Eagles 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Green Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zesco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Zesco remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Zesco found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Green Eagles's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Green Eagles conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Zesco VS Green Eagles
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zesco

(Home)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
Page 1 of 7

Green Eagles

(Away)
03 Oct
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 4
Green Eagles
22 May
Mines
1 : 0
Green Eagles
17 May
Green Eagles
0 : 1
Power Dynamos
14 May
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Green Eagles
07 May
Green Eagles
1 : 0
Zesco
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)