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Zesco vs Jwaneng Galaxy

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zesco play Jwaneng Galaxy in the CAF Confederation Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zesco averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. Jwaneng Galaxy averaged 1.77 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Zesco won 1, Jwaneng Galaxy won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 25, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Zesco and 1.06 for Jwaneng Galaxy. This points to a Jwaneng Galaxy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Zesco
24%
Draws
41%
Jwaneng Galaxy
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Jwaneng Galaxy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Zesco picked up more points recently compared to Jwaneng Galaxy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Zesco Clean Sheet 22%
Jwaneng Galaxy Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Jwaneng Galaxy
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Jwaneng Galaxy vs Zesco
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 CAF Confederation Cup
Zesco vs Jwaneng Galaxy
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zesco Compare

Top Goalscorer Hiver A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chongo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Jwaneng Galaxy Compare

Top Goalscorer Sesinyi T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Molefe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 36 / 100
Jwaneng Galaxy 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Jwaneng Galaxy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jwaneng Galaxy or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zesco attacking → ← attacking Jwaneng Galaxy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zesco scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Jwaneng Galaxy let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Zesco went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jwaneng Galaxy lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 53
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13