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Zesco vs Mufulira Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zesco host Mufulira Wanderers in the Super League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Mufulira Wanderers have shipped 0.86 goals a game lately, while Zesco have conceded 0.87 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Zesco have won 3 to Mufulira Wanderers's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 22, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.31 - 0.38) back Zesco to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Zesco
30%
Draws
6%
Mufulira Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zesco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Zesco at 0.97 per game, Mufulira Wanderers at 0.75.
  • Win probability leans Zesco's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Zesco Clean Sheet 20%
Mufulira Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zesco Mufulira Wanderers
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.87 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Super League
Zesco vs Mufulira Wanderers
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Zesco
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Zesco
0:1
Sep 29, 2024 Super League
Zesco vs Mufulira Wanderers
2:0
Jun 1, 2024 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Zesco
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zesco 76 / 100
Mufulira Wanderers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zesco Mufulira Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zesco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zesco has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zesco found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Mufulira Wanderers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zesco VS Mufulira Wanderers
1.5 Goals Scored 0.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zesco

(Home)
03 Oct
Kabwe
1 : 1
Zesco
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
21 Aug
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Zesco
20 Aug
Simba
0 : 1
Zesco
24 May
Zesco
6 : 1
Zanaco
Page 1 of 6

Mufulira Wanderers

(Away)
03 Oct
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 4
Green Eagles
23 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
17 May
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 0
Red Arrows
13 May
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
03 May
Green Eagles
2 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)