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Zhenis Astana W vs Tomiris-Turan W

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

League Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zhenis Astana W play Tomiris-Turan W in the League Women 2025. Zhenis Astana W are favorites here. Recently, Zhenis Astana W averaged 2.77 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Tomiris-Turan W averaged 3.21 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Zhenis Astana W won 0, Tomiris-Turan W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Aug 18, 2025 ended 0:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Zhenis Astana W and 1.00 for Tomiris-Turan W. This points to a Zhenis Astana W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Zhenis Astana W
25%
Draws
15%
Tomiris-Turan W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Zhenis Astana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Zhenis Astana W picked up more points recently compared to Tomiris-Turan W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%
Zhenis Astana W Clean Sheet 23%
Tomiris-Turan W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Astana W Tomiris-Turan W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 22
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.77 3.21
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 4.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2025 League Women
Zhenis Astana W vs Tomiris-Turan W
0:4
May 19, 2025 League Women
Tomiris-Turan W vs Zhenis Astana W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Astana W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.25

Tomiris-Turan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Owolabi B. K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Agbotsu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis Astana W 59 / 100
Tomiris-Turan W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Astana W Tomiris-Turan W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Astana W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Zhenis Astana W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zhenis Astana W attacking → ← attacking Tomiris-Turan W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhenis Astana W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Tomiris-Turan W let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Zhenis Astana W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tomiris-Turan W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 69
4.50 Goals expected (xG) 3.13
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Aktobe W262420225:574
2BIIK Shymkent W262321252:971
3Tomiris-Turan W261943107:2061
4Kyzylzhar W26161969:3949
5Yelimay Semey W26153867:5248
6Kairat W261511066:5646
7Ulytau W261241047:5440
8Zhenis Astana W261131251:6336
9FC Astana W26851346:5529
10Kaisar Kyzylorda W26841445:6328
11Tobol W26651527:11123
12Zhetysu W26422024:10414
13Atyrau W26212327:1817
14Okzhetpes W2601255:2461