Sport Picks
Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakhstan
Premier League Astana Arena, Astana 
Match Events
13'
13'
Ibrahim F.
60'
60'
Sub
Adilio In: Naumets V.
Out: Adilio
60'
60'
Sub
Kpozo P. In: Askarov M.
Out: Kpozo P.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Zhenis and Ertis Pavlodar finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zhenis carry the better recent record into this one.
- Zhenis are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 68%
Ertis Pavlodar Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zhenis | Ertis Pavlodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 Premier League
Ertis Pavlodar vs Zhenis
0:1
Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar
0:0
Oct 25, 2008 Premier League
Ertis Pavlodar vs Zhenis
5:2
Mar 30, 2008 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar
1:1
Sep 30, 2007 Premier League
Zhenis vs Ertis Pavlodar
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zhenis 95 / 100
Ertis Pavlodar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zhenis Ertis Pavlodar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zhenis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ertis Pavlodar let in goals in 88% of their last 26 matches.
Zhenis scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Zhenis went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zhenis VS Ertis Pavlodar
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Zhenis
(Home) 29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
19 Aug
Zhenis
3 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
02 Aug
Zhenis
0 : 0 Yelimay Semey
29 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
3 : 1 Zhenis
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0 Altai
19 Aug
Zhenis
3 : 2 Kaisar Kyzylorda
15 Aug
Zhenis
4 : 1 Zhetysu Taldykorgan
02 Aug
Zhenis
0 : 0 Yelimay Semey
18 Jul
Zhenis
1 : 1 Ulytau
Page 1 of 3
Ertis Pavlodar
(Away) 16 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 2 Tobol
09 Aug
Yelimay Semey
3 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar
01 Aug
Ertis Pavlodar
3 : 2 Kaspij Aktau
25 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar
11 Jul
Ertis Pavlodar
0 : 1 Zhenis
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Yelimay Semey
3 : 1 Ertis Pavlodar
25 Jul
Ulytau
1 : 2 Ertis Pavlodar
05 Jul
Kaisar Kyzylorda
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
20 Jun
Zhenis
0 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
14 Jun
FC Astana
2 : 0 Ertis Pavlodar
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 46:16 | 55 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:15 | 48 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 34:22 | 39 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:31 | 39 |
| 5 | Aktobe | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 35 |
| 6 | Yelimay Semey | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 31:26 | 32 |
| 7 | Ulytau | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:24 | 31 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22:24 | 29 |
| 9 | Tobol | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | 28 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 24:31 | 23 |
| 11 | Kyzylzhar | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 24:35 | 23 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 21 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 23 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 20:30 | 20 |
| 14 | Altai | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 20:34 | 19 |
| 15 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:41 | 19 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 21 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - First League 2027 (Main)
