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Zhenis vs Igilik Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Zhenis Logo

Zhenis

4 - 0
FT
Igilik Logo

Igilik

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Khayrullin R.
47' Event
Cheredinov A.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Cheredinov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zhenis in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhenis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Zhenis
15%
Draws
42%
Igilik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Igilik haven't matched Zhenis's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Zhenis taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 20%
Igilik Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Igilik
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 1.35 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.26 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2022 First League
Zhenis vs Igilik
4:0
Jun 19, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Zhenis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Khayrullin R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cheredinov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Igilik Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 76 / 100
Igilik 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Igilik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igilik let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Zhenis scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Igilik registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
Page 1 of 7

Igilik

(Away)
05 Nov
Igilik
4 : 5
Turkistan
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
21 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 4
Igilik
16 Oct
Igilik
2 : 1
FK Kyran
09 Oct
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Igilik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)