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Zhenis vs Kaisar Kyzylorda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup Astana Arena, Astana
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Tevzadze Z.
18' Event
Martins G.
Assist: Kuat I.
23'
Sovet S.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. The second leg ended 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Zhenis
15%
Draws
34%
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zhenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zhenis come out ahead of Kaisar Kyzylorda on wins alone.
  • Zhenis are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Zhenis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Zhenis, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 15%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhenis Kaisar Kyzylorda
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Zhenis vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
3:2
Jul 29, 2026 Kazakhstan Cup
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Zhenis
3:1
Mar 8, 2026 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Zhenis
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Zhenis vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Zhenis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Filipovic A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martins G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Kaisar Kyzylorda Compare

Top Goalscorer Miqueias
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bagdat R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhenis 41 / 100
Kaisar Kyzylorda 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhenis Kaisar Kyzylorda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zhenis scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Kaisar Kyzylorda let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Kaisar Kyzylorda has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhenis VS Kaisar Kyzylorda
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhenis

(Home)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
Page 1 of 6

Kaisar Kyzylorda

(Away)
18 Sept
Kyzylzhar
1 : 1
Kaisar Kyzylorda
12 Sept
Kaisar Kyzylorda
1 : 0
Atyrau
06 Sept
Altai
2 : 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda
29 Aug
Kaisar Kyzylorda
2 : 3
Okzhetpes
25 Aug
Tobol
3 : 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Akademiya Ontustik 2
Ordabasy 4
FC Ekibastuz 0
Kaspij Aktau 4
Jas Qyran 0
Atyrau 4
Karshiga Almaty 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1
Arys 0
Aktobe 4
Turan 1
Yelimay Semey 4
Jelaev Nan 0
Altai 2
Taraz 0
Ulytau 1
Talas 0
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Jaiyq 1
Kairat Almaty 3
BKS 1
FC Astana 2
Ansat 0
Tobol 8
Shakhter Karagandy 2
Okzhetpes 3
Chromtau 1
Zhenis 4
SD Family -
Ertis Pavlodar -
Khan Tengri 0
Kyzylzhar 1
1/8-finals
Ordabasy 3
Kaspij Aktau 0
Atyrau 0
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 2
Aktobe 2
Yelimay Semey 1
Altai 4
Ulytau 3
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Kairat Almaty 1
FC Astana 1
Tobol 2
Okzhetpes 2
Zhenis 3
Ertis Pavlodar 1
Kyzylzhar 2
Quarter-finals
Ordabasy 1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan 0
Aktobe 1
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Tobol 1
Zhenis 2
Kyzylzhar 0
Semi-finals
Ordabasy 5
Altai 2
Kaisar Kyzylorda 5
Zhenis 4
Final
Ordabasy -
Kaisar Kyzylorda -