Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

First League 2025

Zhetisay

2 - 1

AKAS

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Ilyasov K.

25'

Sub

Kalymbetov A. In: Kriventsev P.

Out: Kalymbetov A.

54'

Aydarbekuly A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First League 2025 game between Zhetisay and AKAS finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zhetisay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Zhetisay

30%

Draws

34%

AKAS

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zhetisay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Zhetisay come out ahead of AKAS on wins alone.
36% — that's where the model lands on Zhetisay taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

Zhetisay Clean Sheet 12%

AKAS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zhetisay	AKAS
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	4	4
Losses	11	14
Goals Scored	2.88	1.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2025 First League

Zhetisay vs AKAS

2:1

Jun 26, 2025 First League

AKAS vs Zhetisay

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhetisay Compare

Top Goalscorer Abylaykhan R.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ryskul B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.22

Avg xA / game 1.44

AKAS Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydarbekuly A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetisay 35 / 100

AKAS 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zhetisay AKAS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AKAS let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Zhetisay scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

AKAS's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhetisay VS AKAS

2.88 Goals Scored 1.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 75%

75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhetisay

(Home)

24 Oct

Zhetisay

1 : 1

Taraz

16 Oct

Akademiya Ontustik

3 : 1

Zhetisay

03 Oct

Zhetisay

1 : 2

Altai

26 Sept

Zhetisay

2 : 1

AKAS

19 Sept

Shakhter Karagandy

5 : 0

Zhetisay

Page 1 of 6

AKAS

(Away)

24 Oct

AKAS

1 : 2

Kaspij Aktau

16 Oct

Taraz

3 : 1

AKAS

02 Oct

AKAS

1 : 2

Akademiya Ontustik

26 Sept

Zhetisay

2 : 1

AKAS

18 Sept

AKAS

1 : 1

Altai

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kaspij Aktau	26	22	2	2	74:27	68
2	Ertis Pavlodar	26	19	4	3	71:20	61
3	Altai	26	17	4	5	54:23	55
4	Shakhter Karagandy	26	16	5	5	61:34	53
5	Zhetisay	26	13	3	10	44:35	42
6	Kairat Almaty 2	26	12	4	10	58:42	40
7	Akademiya Ontustik	26	12	3	11	44:44	39
8	Taraz	26	10	5	11	43:38	35
9	AKAS	26	10	3	13	42:39	33
10	FC Ekibastuz	26	8	4	14	36:60	28
11	SD Family	26	7	2	17	33:75	23
12	Khan Tengri	26	5	3	18	27:55	18
13	Aktobe 2	26	3	7	16	34:65	16
14	Turkistan	26	2	3	21	16:80	9

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