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Zhetisay vs Aktobe 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League 2025 Kazhymukhan Stadion, Zhetisay
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Sub
Sarsenbek B. In: Mustafin B.
Out: Sarsenbek B.
45' Event
Mustafin B.
Assist: Dandybaev N.
46'
Sub
Myktybaev S. In: Laturnus V.
Out: Myktybaev S.

AI Match Summary

Zhetisay in this First League 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zhetisay.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Zhetisay
15%
Draws
51%
Aktobe 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aktobe 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Aktobe 2 haven't matched Zhetisay's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Zhetisay have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zhetisay Clean Sheet 16%
Aktobe 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhetisay Aktobe 2
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.66 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2025 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Zhetisay
1:3
May 29, 2025 First League
Zhetisay vs Aktobe 2
3:0
Jul 19, 2024 First League
Zhetisay vs Aktobe 2
2:1
Jun 7, 2024 First League
Aktobe 2 vs Zhetisay
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhetisay Compare

Top Goalscorer Mustafin B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ryskul B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Aktobe 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhetisay 31 / 100
Aktobe 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhetisay Aktobe 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aktobe 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aktobe 2 conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Zhetisay found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Aktobe 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aktobe 2
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 3.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhetisay

(Home)
24 Oct
Zhetisay
1 : 1
Taraz
16 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
3 : 1
Zhetisay
03 Oct
Zhetisay
1 : 2
Altai
26 Sept
Zhetisay
2 : 1
AKAS
19 Sept
Shakhter Karagandy
5 : 0
Zhetisay
Page 1 of 6

Aktobe 2

(Away)
17 Sept
Arys
4 : 1
Aktobe 2
10 Sept
Aktobe 2
1 : 3
Turan
03 Sept
Akademiya Ontustik
2 : 1
Aktobe 2
28 Aug
Aktobe 2
1 : 0
Jaiyq
20 Aug
Yelimay Semey 2
2 : 5
Aktobe 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaspij Aktau 26 22 2 2 74:27 68
2 Ertis Pavlodar 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Altai 26 17 4 5 54:23 55
4 Shakhter Karagandy 26 16 5 5 61:34 53
5 Zhetisay 26 13 3 10 44:35 42
6 Kairat Almaty 2 26 12 4 10 58:42 40
7 Akademiya Ontustik 26 12 3 11 44:44 39
8 Taraz 26 10 5 11 43:38 35
9 AKAS 26 10 3 13 42:39 33
10 FC Ekibastuz 26 8 4 14 36:60 28
11 SD Family 26 7 2 17 33:75 23
12 Khan Tengri 26 5 3 18 27:55 18
13 Aktobe 2 26 3 7 16 34:65 16
14 Turkistan 26 2 3 21 16:80 9
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