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Zhlobin vs ML Vitebsk

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Nguyen A.
28' Event
Sergeev A.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Zatenko I.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between Zhlobin and ML Vitebsk finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ML Vitebsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Zhlobin
30%
Draws
52%
ML Vitebsk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ML Vitebsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ML Vitebsk come out ahead of Zhlobin on wins alone.
  • ML Vitebsk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Zhlobin Clean Sheet 13%
ML Vitebsk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhlobin ML Vitebsk
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 6 22
Draws 1 11
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 1.03 2.37
Goals Conceded 4.1 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
ML Vitebsk vs Zhlobin
3:1
May 23, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Zhlobin vs ML Vitebsk
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhlobin Compare

Top Goalscorer Zatenko I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sharko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

ML Vitebsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trachinskiy I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhlobin 10 / 100
ML Vitebsk 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhlobin ML Vitebsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ML Vitebsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Zhlobin scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

ML Vitebsk let in goals in 77% of their last 43 matches.

Recent resilience: Zhlobin stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS ML Vitebsk
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zhlobin

(Home)
28 May
Stanles Pinsk
3 : 2
Zhlobin
24 Oct
Zhlobin
3 : 2
Chayka Zelva
17 Oct
Chayka Zelva
3 : 0
Zhlobin
10 Oct
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
3 : 2
Zhlobin
26 Sept
Zhlobin
1 : 4
SMIavtotrans Smolevichi
Page 1 of 6

ML Vitebsk

(Away)
18 Sept
ML Vitebsk
5 : 1
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1
ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
ML Vitebsk
0 : 0
Din. Minsk
02 Sept
ML Vitebsk
1 : 1
Belshina
29 Aug
Dynamo Brest
1 : 3
ML Vitebsk
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dnepr Mogilev 20 19 0 1 105:9 57
2 Petrikov 20 16 1 3 80:16 49
3 Osipovichi 20 12 1 7 44:35 37
4 Gorki 20 10 5 5 35:21 35
5 Viktoria Maryina Gorka 20 9 4 7 43:37 31
6 ML Vitebsk 20 9 3 8 46:45 30
7 SMIavtotrans Smolevichi 20 8 2 10 45:53 26
8 BumProm Gomel 20 7 3 10 29:51 24
9 Polotsk 20 4 1 15 27:78 13
10 Energetik-BGATU 20 2 3 15 28:59 9
11 Zhlobin 20 2 1 17 14:92 7
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