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Zhlobin vs Viktoria Maryina Gorka

Belarus Belarus

Division 2 - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Derkach M.
46'
Sub
Chepa O. In: Sharipov F.
Out: Chepa O.
51' Event
Lizunov S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Group B game between Zhlobin and Viktoria Maryina Gorka finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Viktoria Maryina Gorka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zhlobin
33%
Draws
27%
Viktoria Maryina Gorka
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Zhlobin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Zhlobin haven't matched Viktoria Maryina Gorka's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Zhlobin taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 - Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • Viktoria Maryina Gorka have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Zhlobin Clean Sheet 10%
Viktoria Maryina Gorka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zhlobin Viktoria Maryina Gorka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 1 4
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 3.75 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Viktoria Maryina Gorka vs Zhlobin
3:2
Jul 11, 2020 Division 2 - Group B
Zhlobin vs Viktoria Maryina Gorka
1:3
May 23, 2015 Belarusian Cup
Zhlobin vs Viktoria Maryina Gorka
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zhlobin Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Viktoria Maryina Gorka Compare

Top Goalscorer Lizunov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zhlobin 38 / 100
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zhlobin Viktoria Maryina Gorka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZLO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Zhlobin found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Viktoria Maryina Gorka has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Viktoria Maryina Gorka's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Zhlobin VS Viktoria Maryina Gorka
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dnepr Mogilev201901105:957
2Petrikov20161380:1649
3Osipovichi20121744:3537
4Gorki20105535:2135
5Viktoria Maryina Gorka2094743:3731
6ML Vitebsk2093846:4530
7SMIavtotrans Smolevichi20821045:5326
8BumProm Gomel20731029:5124
9Polotsk20411527:7813
10Energetik-BGATU20231528:599
11Zhlobin20211714:927