Sport Picks
Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev
Belarus
Belarusian Cup Stadion Torpedo, Zhodino 
Match Events
18'
18'
Tsepenkov K.
46'
46'
Sub
Agbo G. In: Zhulpa D.
Out: Agbo G.
51'
51'
Pobudey V.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Dnepr Mogilev advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zhodino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Zhodino carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Zhodino's way, sitting at 42%.
- Zhodino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dnepr Mogilev, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Zhodino Clean Sheet 20%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zhodino | Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:2
Apr 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Zhodino
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Zhodino
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Zhodino
1:1
Jun 2, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zhodino Compare
Top Goalscorer Pobudey V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Dnepr Mogilev Compare
Top Goalscorer Tsepenkov K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zhodino 42 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zhodino Dnepr Mogilev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dnepr Mogilev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Zhodino scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Zhodino remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zhodino VS Dnepr Mogilev
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Zhodino
(Home) 25 Jul
Zhodino
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
18 Jul
FK Lida
0 : 4 Zhodino
11 Jul
FK Baranovici
1 : 0 Zhodino
05 Jul
Zhodino
0 : 2 Isloch Minsk
27 Jun
Zhodino
3 : 0 BATE
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Zhodino
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
05 Jul
Zhodino
0 : 2 Isloch Minsk
27 Jun
Zhodino
3 : 0 BATE
14 Jun
Zhodino
1 : 1 Slavia Mozyr
23 May
Zhodino
3 : 0 FC Minsk
Page 1 of 3
Dnepr Mogilev
(Away) 25 Jul
Zhodino
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
18 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 3 Dnepr Mogilev
10 Jul
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 2 FC Minsk
04 Jul
Vitebsk
1 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
28 Jun
Dnepr Mogilev
2 : 0 Neman
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Zhodino
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
18 Jul
Osipovichi
1 : 3 Dnepr Mogilev
04 Jul
Vitebsk
1 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
20 Jun
FC Gomel
2 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
31 May
BATE
1 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Shchuchyn3
FK Lida4
TBD-
Zhodino-
BGU Minsk0
Osipovichi2
TBD-
Dnepr Mogilev-
Technolog Mogilev0
FC Slonim6
TBD-
Isloch Minsk-
Polotsk0
Uni X Labs2
TBD-
FK Baranovici-
Bobovnya0
BumProm Gomel2
TBD-
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Leskhoz0
Soligorsk3
TBD-
Neman-
Drut Belynichi0
Orsha7
TBD-
Naftan-
Urozhaynaya0
Molodechno3
TBD-
BATE-
Gazovik Vitebsk1
Volna Pinsk4
TBD-
Slavia Mozyr-
Stanles Pinsk1
Krumkachy4
TBD-
Dynamo Brest-
Neman Mosty1
Niva Dolbizno4
TBD-
FC Gomel-
Krechet0
Ostrovets8
TBD-
Vitebsk-
Ivatsevichi1
Slutsk3
TBD-
Din. Minsk-
Minskoe More0
SKA-1938 Minsk3
TBD-
ML Vitebsk-
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Nadezhda Baranovici0
TBD-
Belshina-
Vertical Kalinkovichi0
Smorgon7
TBD-
FC Minsk-
1/16-finals
FK Lida0
Zhodino4
Osipovichi1
Dnepr Mogilev3
FC Slonim0
Isloch Minsk1
Uni X Labs1
FK Baranovici4
BumProm Gomel0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk1
Soligorsk1
Neman2
Orsha3
Naftan2
Molodechno1
BATE4
Volna Pinsk0
Slavia Mozyr5
Krumkachy0
Dynamo Brest5
Niva Dolbizno2
FC Gomel3
Ostrovets2
Vitebsk3
Slutsk0
Din. Minsk2
SKA-1938 Minsk3
ML Vitebsk5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka1
Belshina8
Smorgon3
FC Minsk4
1/8-finals
Zhodino1
Dnepr Mogilev2
Isloch Minsk1
FK Baranovici2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk-
Neman-
Orsha-
BATE-
Slavia Mozyr-
Dynamo Brest-
FC Gomel1
Vitebsk2
Din. Minsk-
ML Vitebsk-
Belshina1
FC Minsk2
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-
