Sport Picks
Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev Prediction & H2H Stats
Belarus
Belarusian Cup Stadion Torpedo, Zhodino 
Match Events
18'
18'
Tsepenkov K.
46'
46'
Sub
Agbo G. In: Zhulpa D.
Out: Agbo G.
51'
51'
Pobudey V.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zhodino
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Zhodino carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Zhodino have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Dnepr Mogilev, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Zhodino Clean Sheet 17%
Dnepr Mogilev Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zhodino | Dnepr Mogilev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.7 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 24, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev
0:0
Jul 25, 2026 Belarusian Cup
Zhodino vs Dnepr Mogilev
1:2
Apr 20, 2026 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Zhodino
2:2
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Dnepr Mogilev vs Zhodino
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Vysshaya Liga
Dnepr Mogilev vs Zhodino
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zhodino Compare
Top Goalscorer Pobudey V.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Dnepr Mogilev Compare
Top Goalscorer Tsepenkov K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zhodino 36 / 100
Dnepr Mogilev 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zhodino Dnepr Mogilev
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dnepr Mogilev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dnepr Mogilev's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Zhodino found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).
Solid form: Zhodino remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Zhodino VS Dnepr Mogilev
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Zhodino
(Home) 20 Sept
Vitebsk
6 : 0 Zhodino
12 Sept
Neman
1 : 0 Zhodino
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2 FC Gomel
30 Aug
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
2 : 4 Zhodino
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Zhodino
1 : 2 FC Gomel
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
08 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 1 Dynamo Brest
25 Jul
Zhodino
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
05 Jul
Zhodino
0 : 2 Isloch Minsk
Page 1 of 3
Dnepr Mogilev
(Away) 20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
13 Sept
Dnepr Mogilev
1 : 1 ML Vitebsk
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
30 Aug
Dnepr Mogilev
0 : 0 Isloch Minsk
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Dynamo Brest
4 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
06 Sept
FK Baranovici
2 : 1 Dnepr Mogilev
24 Aug
Zhodino
0 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
07 Aug
Slavia Mozyr
3 : 0 Dnepr Mogilev
25 Jul
Zhodino
1 : 2 Dnepr Mogilev
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Shchuchyn 3
FK Lida 4
TBD -
Zhodino -
BGU Minsk 0
Osipovichi 2
TBD -
Dnepr Mogilev -
Technolog Mogilev 0
FC Slonim 6
TBD -
Isloch Minsk -
Polotsk 0
Uni X Labs 2
TBD -
FK Baranovici -
Bobovnya 0
BumProm Gomel 2
TBD -
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk -
Leskhoz 0
Soligorsk 3
TBD -
Neman -
Drut Belynichi 0
Orsha 7
TBD -
Naftan -
Urozhaynaya 0
Molodechno 3
TBD -
BATE -
Gazovik Vitebsk 1
Volna Pinsk 4
TBD -
Slavia Mozyr -
Stanles Pinsk 1
Krumkachy 4
TBD -
Dynamo Brest -
Neman Mosty 1
Niva Dolbizno 4
TBD -
FC Gomel -
Krechet 0
Ostrovets 8
TBD -
Vitebsk -
Ivatsevichi 1
Slutsk 3
TBD -
Din. Minsk -
Minskoe More 0
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
TBD -
ML Vitebsk -
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Nadezhda Baranovici 0
TBD -
Belshina -
Vertical Kalinkovichi 0
Smorgon 7
TBD -
FC Minsk -
1/16-finals
FK Lida 0
Zhodino 4
Osipovichi 1
Dnepr Mogilev 3
FC Slonim 0
Isloch Minsk 1
Uni X Labs 1
FK Baranovici 4
BumProm Gomel 0
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 1
Soligorsk 1
Neman 2
Orsha 3
Naftan 2
Molodechno 1
BATE 4
Volna Pinsk 0
Slavia Mozyr 5
Krumkachy 0
Dynamo Brest 5
Niva Dolbizno 2
FC Gomel 3
Ostrovets 2
Vitebsk 3
Slutsk 0
Din. Minsk 2
SKA-1938 Minsk 3
ML Vitebsk 5
Viktoria Maryina Gorka 1
Belshina 8
Smorgon 3
FC Minsk 4
1/8-finals
Zhodino 1
Dnepr Mogilev 2
Isloch Minsk 1
FK Baranovici 2
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk 2
Neman 3
Orsha -
BATE -
Slavia Mozyr 2
Dynamo Brest 1
FC Gomel 1
Vitebsk 2
Din. Minsk -
ML Vitebsk -
Belshina 1
FC Minsk 2
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
