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Zidgrad Idrija vs Adria Miren - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gobec T.
58' Event
Peras A.
90' Event
Guillen Gamboa M.

AI Match Summary

Zidgrad Idrija in this 3. SNL - West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zidgrad Idrija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Zidgrad Idrija
15%
Draws
39%
Adria Miren
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zidgrad Idrija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zidgrad Idrija lately — more wins on the board than Adria Miren.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Zidgrad Idrija Clean Sheet 17%
Adria Miren Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zidgrad Idrija Adria Miren
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.25 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 3. SNL - West
Zidgrad Idrija vs Adria Miren
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zidgrad Idrija Compare

Top Goalscorer Gobec T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guillen Gamboa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Adria Miren Compare

Top Goalscorer Peras A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zidgrad Idrija 30 / 100
Adria Miren 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zidgrad Idrija Adria Miren

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zidgrad Idrija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zidgrad Idrija's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Adria Miren has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Zidgrad Idrija went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zidgrad Idrija VS Adria Miren
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Zidgrad Idrija

(Home)
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
1 : 3
Dob
20 Sept
Fama Vipava
2 : 3
Zidgrad Idrija
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Litija
0 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
Page 1 of 6

Adria Miren

(Away)
03 Oct
IB 1975 Ljubljana
2 : 1
Adria Miren
26 Sept
Litija
3 : 0
Adria Miren
19 Sept
Adria Miren
2 : 0
Sobec Lesce
12 Sept
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 1
Adria Miren
05 Sept
Adria Miren
4 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)