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Zielona Gora vs Carina Gubin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Zielona Gora and Carina Gubin finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Zielona Gora
6%
Draws
90%
Carina Gubin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Carina Gubin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zielona Gora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Carina Gubin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 16%
Carina Gubin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Carina Gubin
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 17 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.38 2.14
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.14
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Zielona Gora vs Carina Gubin
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Carina Gubin
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Zielona Gora
2:1
Apr 5, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Carina Gubin
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Carina Gubin vs Zielona Gora
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 10 / 100
Carina Gubin 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Carina Gubin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zielona Gora found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Carina Gubin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Zielona Gora remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Carina Gubin
2.38 Goals Scored 2.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zielona Gora342110377:1773
2Polkowice34207764:4267
3BKS Sparta Katowice34188853:3462
4Skra Czestochowa34178968:5659
5Zaglebie II341761177:6157
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341591049:4654
7Kluczbork341571267:4352
8Warta Gorzow341571254:4752
9Gornik Zabrze II341561373:4451
10Sleza Wroclaw341471349:5749
11Woliborz341391248:4948
12Carina Gubin3412111150:5147
13Legnica II341371463:5846
14Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341291357:5645
15Polonia Nysa349101551:5837
16Starowice Dolne34762133:8127
17Pniowek Pawlowice34542528:7719
18Stal Jasien34213121:1057