Sport Picks
Zielona Gora vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Poland
III Liga - Group III 2023/2024 
Match Events
7'
7'
Surozynski M.
58'
58'
Kaczmarek J.
74'
74'
Rakowiecki M.
AI Match Summary
Zielona Gora in this III Liga - Group III 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zielona Gora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zielona Gora
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Zielona Gora have won more games recently than Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory.
- Zielona Gora are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Zielona Gora have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 20%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zielona Gora | Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 30 |
| Wins | 25 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 7 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 0 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.38 | 0 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
2:1
Oct 21, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Zielona Gora
1:3
Apr 12, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
2:2
Aug 13, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Zielona Gora
0:1
Apr 20, 2022 III Liga - Group III
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory vs Zielona Gora
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zielona Gora Compare
Top Goalscorer Surozynski M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory Compare
Top Goalscorer Kaczmarek J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zielona Gora 85 / 100
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zielona Gora Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ZIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Zielona Gora scored in 80% of their last 40 outings.
Defensive concern: Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Zielona Gora stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zielona Gora VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Zielona Gora
(Home) 25 Jul
Zielona Gora
1 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
18 Jul
Zielona Gora
0 : 2 Legnica II
18 Jul
Warta Poznan
1 : 2 Zielona Gora
15 Jul
Zielona Gora
2 : 3 Carina Gubin
11 Jul
Barycz Sulow
1 : 2 Zielona Gora
Page 1 of 8
25 Jul
Zielona Gora
1 : 1 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
18 Jul
Zielona Gora
0 : 2 Legnica II
15 Jul
Zielona Gora
2 : 3 Carina Gubin
04 Jul
Zielona Gora
3 : 1 Legnica
23 May
Zielona Gora
4 : 0 Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
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Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
(Away) 22 Feb
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
1 : 3 Starowice Dolne
08 Feb
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
1 : 2 Przemsza Siewierz
27 Jul
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
0 : 0 Tychy 2
17 Jul
Podlesianka Katowice
2 : 1 Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
08 Jun
Carina Gubin
3 : 1 Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Page 1 of 6
17 Jul
Podlesianka Katowice
2 : 1 Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
08 Jun
Carina Gubin
3 : 1 Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
25 May
Karkonosze Jelenia Gora
0 : 3 Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
15 May
Zielona Gora
2 : 1 Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
04 May
Pniowek Pawlowice
2 : 2 Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rekord Bielsko-Biala | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 84:37 | 75 |
| 2 | Slask Wroclaw II | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 76:32 | 73 |
| 3 | Kluczbork | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 55:38 | 60 |
| 4 | Polkowice | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 56:49 | 56 |
| 5 | Pniowek Pawlowice | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 59:51 | 55 |
| 6 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:38 | 47 |
| 7 | Gornik Zabrze II | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:54 | 47 |
| 8 | Sleza Wroclaw | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 60:62 | 45 |
| 9 | Stilon Gorzow | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 51:49 | 45 |
| 10 | Zielona Gora | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:57 | 43 |
| 11 | Carina Gubin | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48:55 | 42 |
| 12 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 41:53 | 41 |
| 13 | Bytom Odrzanski | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 39:42 | 41 |
| 14 | Unia Turza Slaska | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50:56 | 41 |
| 15 | Warta Gorzow | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 42:58 | 39 |
| 16 | Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 44:58 | 33 |
| 17 | RKS Rakow Czestochowa II | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 43:66 | 32 |
| 18 | Starowice Dolne | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 36:80 | 23 |
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)