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Zielona Gora vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Zielona Gora and Polonia Sroda Wielkopol finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zielona Gora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Zielona Gora
39%
Draws
30%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zielona Gora come out ahead of Polonia Sroda Wielkopol on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 17%
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 2 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Zielona Gora vs Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 31 / 100
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Polonia Sroda Wielkopol

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Zielona Gora's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Polonia Sroda Wielkopol lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zielona Gora VS Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
2 Goals Scored 1.29
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.14
75% Over 1.5 71%
75% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 14%