Sport Picks
Zielona Gora vs Starowice Dolne
Poland
III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 game between Zielona Gora and Starowice Dolne finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zielona Gora.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Zielona Gora come out ahead of Starowice Dolne on wins alone.
- Model gives Zielona Gora a 70% chance of winning this.
- Regular III Liga - Group III 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zielona Gora | Starowice Dolne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 0.71 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 3.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zielona Gora Compare
Starowice Dolne Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Starowice Dolne let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Zielona Gora found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).
Difficult form: Starowice Dolne registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zielona Gora | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 77:17 | 73 |
| 2 | Polkowice | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 64:42 | 67 |
| 3 | BKS Sparta Katowice | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:34 | 62 |
| 4 | Skra Czestochowa | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:56 | 59 |
| 5 | Zaglebie II | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 77:61 | 57 |
| 6 | Goczalkowice Zdroj | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 49:46 | 54 |
| 7 | Kluczbork | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 67:43 | 52 |
| 8 | Warta Gorzow | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 54:47 | 52 |
| 9 | Gornik Zabrze II | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 73:44 | 51 |
| 10 | Sleza Wroclaw | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 49:57 | 49 |
| 11 | Woliborz | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 48:49 | 48 |
| 12 | Carina Gubin | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 50:51 | 47 |
| 13 | Legnica II | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63:58 | 46 |
| 14 | Karkonosze Jelenia Gora | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 57:56 | 45 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 51:58 | 37 |
| 16 | Starowice Dolne | 34 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 33:81 | 27 |
| 17 | Pniowek Pawlowice | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 28:77 | 19 |
| 18 | Stal Jasien | 34 | 2 | 1 | 31 | 21:105 | 7 |