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Zielona Gora vs Unia Turza Slaska

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group III 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zielona Gora play Unia Turza Slaska in the III Liga - Group III 2024/2025. Zielona Gora are favorites here. Recently, Zielona Gora averaged 1.89 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Unia Turza Slaska averaged 1.04 goals scored and 2.63 conceded. In past meetings, Zielona Gora won 3, Unia Turza Slaska won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 21, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Zielona Gora and 0.75 for Unia Turza Slaska. This points to a Zielona Gora double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Zielona Gora
16%
Draws
15%
Unia Turza Slaska
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Zielona Gora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Zielona Gora picked up more points recently compared to Unia Turza Slaska.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Zielona Gora Clean Sheet 27%
Unia Turza Slaska Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zielona Gora Unia Turza Slaska
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 18 3
Draws 11 3
Losses 6 21
Goals Scored 1.89 1.04
Goals Conceded 0.83 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Unia Turza Slaska
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Unia Turza Slaska vs Zielona Gora
0:3
Apr 6, 2024 III Liga - Group III
Zielona Gora vs Unia Turza Slaska
3:6
Sep 10, 2023 III Liga - Group III
Unia Turza Slaska vs Zielona Gora
1:3
Apr 14, 2018 III Liga - Group III
Unia Turza Slaska vs Zielona Gora
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zielona Gora Compare

Top Goalscorer Lisowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Unia Turza Slaska Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zielona Gora 68 / 100
Unia Turza Slaska 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zielona Gora Unia Turza Slaska

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zielona Gora Win (1)
Secondary Pick Zielona Gora & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zielona Gora attacking → ← attacking Unia Turza Slaska

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zielona Gora scored in 74% of their last 35 games.

Unia Turza Slaska let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Zielona Gora went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Unia Turza Slaska lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 12
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slask Wroclaw II34236575:3075
2Kluczbork34216769:2369
3Legnica II34207772:4567
4Carina Gubin34196962:3663
5Warta Gorzow34187957:3961
6Goczalkowice Zdroj341414648:3456
7Sleza Wroclaw3414101056:4752
8Zielona Gora341571248:3752
9Polkowice341491148:4051
10Pniowek Pawlowice341541542:6349
11Karkonosze Jelenia Gora341391240:4348
12Gornik Zabrze II341391257:4448
13Stilon Gorzow341361542:4445
14Podlesianka Katowice341071751:6137
15Bytom Odrzanski34891742:7133
16Unia Turza Slaska34562328:7321
17Brzeg34392226:6018
18Polonia Slubice34133016:896