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Zilina vs Skalica

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup Stadion pod Dubnom (MSK Zilina)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zilina play Skalica in the Slovak Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zilina averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Skalica averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Zilina won 3, Skalica won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Nov 25, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Zilina and 1.25 for Skalica. This points to a Zilina double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Zilina
25%
Draws
37%
Skalica
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Zilina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Zilina picked up more points recently compared to Skalica.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Zilina Clean Sheet 19%
Skalica Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zilina Skalica
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.4 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 25, 2025 Slovak Cup
Zilina vs Skalica
3:1
Oct 25, 2025 Nike liga
Zilina vs Skalica
3:2
Jul 27, 2025 Nike liga
Skalica vs Zilina
0:0
Dec 15, 2024 Nike liga
Skalica vs Zilina
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Nike liga
Zilina vs Skalica
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zilina Compare

Top Goalscorer Hranica T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Prokop L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Skalica Compare

Top Goalscorer Daniel E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zilina 38 / 100
Skalica 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zilina Skalica

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zilina or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zilina attacking → ← attacking Skalica

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zilina scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Skalica let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Zilina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Skalica lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 45
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75