Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Obed Itani Chilume Stadium

Zambia U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zimbabwe play Zambia U23 in the Friendly International. It looks like a close match. Recently, Zimbabwe averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Zambia U23 averaged 0.94 goals scored and 1.18 conceded. In past meetings, Zimbabwe won 1, Zambia U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 31, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.50 for Zimbabwe and 0.75 for Zambia U23. This points to a Zimbabwe double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%

Zimbabwe

30%

Draws

32%

Zambia U23

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zimbabwe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Zimbabwe picked up more points recently compared to Zambia U23.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.50 vs 0.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 55%

Over 2.5 Goals 34%

Over 3.5 Goals 20%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Zimbabwe Clean Sheet 27%

Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 23%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 52%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Zimbabwe	Zambia U23
Matches Played	29	17
Wins	7	5
Draws	9	5
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	0.86	0.94
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International

Zimbabwe vs Zambia U23

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbabwe 40 / 100

Zambia U23 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Zimbabwe Zambia U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Zimbabwe or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26.5%

3.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +21.4%

3.57

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Zimbabwe attacking → ← attacking Zambia U23

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbabwe scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Zambia U23 let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Zimbabwe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Zambia U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 20

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.50

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50