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Zimbabwe W vs Malawi W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Olympic Games Women
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Zimbabwe W at 1.35 goals for, 1.19 against; Malawi W at 2.44 for, 1.44 against. Head-to-head, Zimbabwe W have won 1 to Malawi W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.35 - 1.02) back Zimbabwe W to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Zimbabwe W
15%
Draws
51%
Malawi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Malawi W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Malawi W lately — more wins on the board than Zimbabwe W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zimbabwe W taking it.
  • Malawi W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Zimbabwe W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Zimbabwe W Clean Sheet 20%
Malawi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbabwe W Malawi W
Matches Played 26 32
Wins 12 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.35 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Olympic Games Women
Malawi W vs Zimbabwe W
2:0
Nov 28, 2025 Friendly International Women
Zimbabwe W vs Malawi W
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbabwe W 42 / 100
Malawi W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbabwe W Malawi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zimbabwe W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Malawi W has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Zimbabwe W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zimbabwe W VS Malawi W
0.57 Goals Scored 0.75
1.29 Goals Conceded 2.13
57% Over 1.5 63%
43% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbabwe W

(Home)
09 Jun
Zambia W
3 : 0
Zimbabwe W
06 Jun
Zimbabwe W
3 : 1
Lesotho W
01 Mar
Zambia W
3 : 1
Zimbabwe W
27 Feb
South Africa W
2 : 1
Zimbabwe W
24 Feb
Zimbabwe W
1 : 0
Botswana W
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Malawi W

(Away)
16 Aug
Cameroon W
3 : 0
Malawi W
12 Aug
Algeria W
1 : 3
Malawi W
09 Aug
Malawi W
2 : 1
Ghana W
05 Aug
Malawi W
1 : 2
Zambia W
01 Aug
Egypt W
1 : 3
Malawi W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tunisia W -
TBD -
TBD -
Senegal W -
Benin W -
TBD -
TBD -
Mali W -
Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
Sudan W 0
Comoros W 30
TBD -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
TBD -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
TBD -
TBD -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W -
TBD -
TBD -
Equatorial Guinea W -
Rwanda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Ethiopia W -
Botswana W -
TBD -
TBD -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
TBD -
TBD -
Namibia W -
South Sudan W 1
Madagascar W 2
TBD -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W -
TBD -
TBD -
Kenya W -
Malawi W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zimbabwe W -
Uganda W -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia W -
Mauritius W 3
Djibouti W 1
TBD -
Ghana W -
1/8-finals
Tunisia W 0
Senegal W 1
Benin W 3
Mali W 1
Congo W -
Morocco W -
Comoros W -
Nigeria W -
Guinea W -
Cameroon W -
D.R. Congo W -
Ivory Coast W -
Central Africa W -
Algeria W -
Burkina Faso W 3
Equatorial Guinea W 1
Rwanda W 0
Ethiopia W 1
Botswana W -
Tanzania W -
Angola W -
Namibia W -
Madagascar W -
South Africa W -
Seychelles W 0
Kenya W 11
Malawi W 0
Zimbabwe W 0
Uganda W 2
Zambia W 1
Mauritius W 0
Ghana W 3
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
Morocco W -
TBD -
Cameroon W -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -