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Zimbru Chisinau vs Oguzsport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Moldovan Cup
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Moldovan Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Zimbru Chisinau have averaged 2.24 scored and 0.91 conceded recently, against Oguzsport's 1.14 scored and 1.32 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.19) point toward Zimbru Chisinau. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Zimbru Chisinau
35%
Draws
45%
Oguzsport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oguzsport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Zimbru Chisinau carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Oguzsport a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Zimbru Chisinau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Zimbru Chisinau Clean Sheet 20%
Oguzsport Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zimbru Chisinau Oguzsport
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 19 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zimbru Chisinau 24 / 100
Oguzsport 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zimbru Chisinau Oguzsport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oguzsport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Zimbru Chisinau scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Oguzsport's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Zimbru Chisinau has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zimbru Chisinau VS Oguzsport
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zimbru Chisinau

(Home)
25 Oct
Zimbru Chisinau
4 : 0
CSF Balti
18 Oct
Milsami
1 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau
11 Oct
Petrocub Hincesti
1 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 2
Bukovyna
27 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 3
Bukovyna
Page 1 of 7

Oguzsport

(Away)
24 Oct
Victoria
0 : 1
Oguzsport
09 Oct
Oguzsport
2 : 2
Stauceni
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Victoria
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
CSF Balti -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
Tarigrad 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Stauceni 1
FC Chisinau 2
Milsami -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 9
Olimp Comrat 0
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
National Ialoveni 1
FC Congaz 2
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Floresti 0
Edinet 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Oguzsport 2
Vulturii Cutezatori 1
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Sparta Selemet 0
Univer Comrat 3
Real Sireti -
TBD -
Victoria 5
Falesti 3
1/8-finals
CSF Balti -
Iskra Ribnita -
Politehnica UTM -
FC Chisinau -
Milsami -
FCM Ungheni -
Sheriff Tiraspol -
FC Congaz -
Petrocub Hincesti -
Edinet -
Zimbru Chisinau -
Oguzsport -
Dacia Buiucani -
Univer Comrat -
Real Sireti -
Victoria -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -