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Zinza vs Barra Mansa Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
Zinza Logo

Zinza

1 - 0
FT
Barra Mansa Logo

Barra Mansa

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Michael
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Zinza and Barra Mansa finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zinza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zinza
35%
Draws
25%
Barra Mansa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Zinza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Zinza's 1.12 goals per match outpaces what Barra Mansa have produced (0.9).
  • Zinza are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Carioca B2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Zinza Clean Sheet 68%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zinza Barra Mansa
Matches Played 17 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 4 8
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.12 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2024 Carioca B2
Zinza vs Barra Mansa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zinza Compare

Top Goalscorer Michael
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Barra Mansa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zinza 95 / 100
Barra Mansa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zinza Barra Mansa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zinza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra Mansa let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Zinza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Zinza's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 17 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barra Mansa
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zinza

(Home)
14 Nov
Campo Grande
3 : 2
Zinza
10 Nov
Zinza
1 : 0
Bonsucesso
07 Nov
Uni Souza
0 : 4
Zinza
03 Nov
Zinza
0 : 0
Serra Macaense
28 Oct
Niteroiense
1 : 1
Zinza
Page 1 of 4

Barra Mansa

(Away)
01 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
2 : 0
Barra Mansa
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)