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Zinza vs Bonsucesso

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2024
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Match Events

24' Event
Geovani

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 2024 game between Zinza and Bonsucesso finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zinza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zinza
35%
Draws
32%
Bonsucesso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bonsucesso carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Zinza a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Zinza have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Zinza Clean Sheet 68%
Bonsucesso Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zinza Bonsucesso
Matches Played 17 39
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 11
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.12 1.05
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2024 Carioca B2
Zinza vs Bonsucesso
1:0
Sep 11, 2024 Copa Rio
Bonsucesso vs Zinza
1:2
Sep 4, 2024 Copa Rio
Zinza vs Bonsucesso
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zinza Compare

Top Goalscorer Geovani
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Bonsucesso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zinza 68 / 100
Bonsucesso 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zinza Bonsucesso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zinza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bonsucesso conceded in 64% of 39 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Zinza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Zinza scored in 59% of their last 17 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bonsucesso
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Zinza

(Home)
14 Nov
Campo Grande
3 : 2
Zinza
10 Nov
Zinza
1 : 0
Bonsucesso
07 Nov
Uni Souza
0 : 4
Zinza
03 Nov
Zinza
0 : 0
Serra Macaense
28 Oct
Niteroiense
1 : 1
Zinza
Page 1 of 4

Bonsucesso

(Away)
22 Jul
Madureira
2 : 1
Bonsucesso
15 Jul
Bonsucesso
2 : 2
Madureira
04 Jul
Olaria
0 : 1
Bonsucesso
01 Jul
Bonsucesso
3 : 2
America RJ
23 Jun
Cabofriense
0 : 0
Bonsucesso
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Campo Grande 11 8 2 1 23:6 26
2 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 20:5 22
3 Niteroiense 11 6 3 2 19:12 21
4 AA Carapebus 11 6 2 3 23:11 20
5 Serra Macaense 11 4 5 2 10:7 17
6 Zinza 11 4 4 3 13:8 16
7 Barra Mansa 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
8 Uni Souza 11 4 3 4 13:18 15
9 7 de Abril 11 2 4 5 12:13 10
10 FC Rio de Janeiro 11 2 2 7 12:23 8
11 Mageense 11 2 0 9 11:30 6
12 Rio Sao Paulo 11 2 0 9 8:33 6
Promotion - Carioca B2 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2025 (Main)