Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zira FK 2 vs Gabala 2

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Asadov Z.
15' Event
Mursalov H.
22' Event
Agalarov S.

AI Match Summary

Gabala 2 in this First Division 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gabala 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Zira FK 2
39%
Draws
31%
Gabala 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gabala 2 lately — more wins on the board than Zira FK 2.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular First Division 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Gabala 2 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Zira FK 2 Clean Sheet 16%
Gabala 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zira FK 2 Gabala 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2023 I Liqa
Zira FK 2 vs Gabala 2
2:4
Sep 28, 2022 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Zira FK 2
0:1
Mar 30, 2022 I Liqa
Zira FK 2 vs Gabala 2
0:1
Oct 26, 2021 I Liqa
Gabala 2 vs Zira FK 2
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zira FK 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Asadov Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agayev S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gabala 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Agalarov S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mursalov H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 2 30 / 100
Gabala 2 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zira FK 2 Gabala 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZIR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Zira FK 2 scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Gabala 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Zira FK 2 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK 2 VS Gabala 2
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zira FK 2

(Home)
23 May
Zira FK 2
2 : 2
Shamakhi 2
18 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Zira FK 2
13 May
Zira FK 2
0 : 2
Qarabag Agdam 2
03 May
Zaqatala PFK
3 : 0
Zira FK 2
26 Apr
Zira FK 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
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Gabala 2

(Away)
23 May
Gabala 2
0 : 0
Qarabag Agdam 2
16 May
Zaqatala PFK
2 : 2
Gabala 2
09 May
Gabala 2
1 : 1
Neftci Baku 2
04 May
Sabail 2
1 : 0
Gabala 2
25 Apr
Gabala 2
0 : 1
Lokbatan
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Araz PFK28223369:2269
2Neftci Baku 228185567:3259
3Turan 2281531049:3748
4Sabail 2281351046:4444
5Gabala 228128845:2844
6Zaqatala PFK281351049:4844
7Kapaz 2281341141:3643
8MOIK Baku28127943:4243
9Lokbatan281251130:2341
10Shamakhi 2281141340:5637
11Qarabag Agdam 228941532:3931
12Zira FK 2286101228:4128
13SumQayit FK 228641836:6022
14Mingachevir28551829:5120
15Imisli FK28622021:6620
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