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Zira FK vs Gabala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Zira Stadium, Zira
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zira FK host Gabala in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Zira FK at 1.24 goals for, 1 against; Gabala at 1.1 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Zira FK have won 5 to Gabala's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 0.69) point toward Zira FK. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Zira FK
30%
Draws
31%
Gabala
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zira FK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zira FK come out ahead of Gabala on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zira FK have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 20%
Gabala Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zira FK Gabala
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs Gabala
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Gabala
1:0
Aug 25, 2025 Premier League
Gabala vs Zira FK
1:2
Apr 24, 2024 Azerbaijan Cup
Gabala vs Zira FK
0:2
Apr 7, 2024 Premier League
Zira FK vs Gabala
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 31 / 100
Gabala 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zira FK Gabala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zira FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Gabala let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Zira FK stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK VS Gabala
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zira FK

(Home)
10 Oct
Zira FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 6

Gabala

(Away)
10 Oct
SumQayit FK
4 : 1
Gabala
18 Sept
Gabala
0 : 3
Neftci Baku
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Gabala
2 : 1
Imisli FK
29 Aug
Gabala
0 : 0
Shamakhi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
4 Turan 7 4 2 1 7:4 14
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
11 Safa Baku 7 1 0 6 2:12 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)