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Zira FK vs Kapaz Prediction & H2H Stats

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League 2025/2026 Zira Stadium, Zira
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Match Events

5' Event
Aydin E.
32' Event
Huseynli R.
38'
Onanuga O.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Zira FK and Kapaz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Zira FK
20%
Draws
40%
Kapaz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Kapaz haven't matched Zira FK's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Zira FK a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Zira FK have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 68%
Kapaz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zira FK Kapaz
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.27 0.69
Goals Conceded 1 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs Kapaz
2:2
Nov 28, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Zira FK
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Kapaz
5:0
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Kapaz vs Zira FK
0:1
Feb 24, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs Kapaz
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Zira FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Aydin E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruan Renato
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Kapaz Compare

Top Goalscorer Huseynli R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Verdasca D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 50 / 100
Kapaz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zira FK Kapaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zira FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zira FK scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Kapaz conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Zira FK went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK VS Kapaz
2 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Zira FK

(Home)
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
22 Aug
Zira FK
3 : 1
Imisli FK
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Kapaz

(Away)
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 0
Gabala
04 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 4
Shamakhi
30 Aug
Kapaz
1 : 0
Turan
15 Aug
Sabah Baku
2 : 0
Kapaz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sabah Baku 33 24 6 3 75:25 78
2 Qarabag Agdam 33 21 6 6 71:27 69
3 Turan 33 17 8 8 44:27 59
4 Neftci Baku 33 16 11 6 57:32 59
5 Zira FK 33 13 14 6 43:36 53
6 Araz PFK 33 13 7 13 44:58 46
7 SumQayit FK 33 12 5 16 45:49 41
8 Shamakhi 33 9 11 13 31:40 38
9 Imisli FK 33 7 13 13 23:43 34
10 Kapaz 33 8 3 22 25:61 27
11 Gabala 33 7 6 20 32:49 27
12 Karvan 33 3 6 24 23:66 15
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - I Liqa (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)