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Stadium Background

Zira FK vs SumQayit FK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

Premier League Zira Stadium, Zira
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zira FK host SumQayit FK in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. SumQayit FK have shipped 1.7 goals a game lately, while Zira FK have conceded 1 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Zira FK slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.58 - 0.94) back Zira FK to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Zira FK
35%
Draws
32%
SumQayit FK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zira FK come out ahead of SumQayit FK on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans SumQayit FK's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zira FK here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Zira FK Clean Sheet 20%
SumQayit FK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zira FK SumQayit FK
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.21 1.07
Goals Conceded 1 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Zira FK vs SumQayit FK
2:1
Mar 3, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
Zira FK vs SumQayit FK
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Premier League
SumQayit FK vs Zira FK
2:3
Feb 4, 2026 Azerbaijan Cup
SumQayit FK vs Zira FK
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
Zira FK vs SumQayit FK
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zira FK 24 / 100
SumQayit FK 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zira FK SumQayit FK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SumQayit FK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SumQayit FK let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Zira FK scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Zira FK remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zira FK VS SumQayit FK
1.88 Goals Scored 1.14
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.29
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Zira FK

(Home)
10 Oct
Zira FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
19 Sept
Turan
1 : 0
Zira FK
13 Sept
Zira FK
1 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
05 Sept
Sabah Baku
5 : 0
Zira FK
30 Aug
Zira FK
1 : 0
Neftci Baku
Page 1 of 7

SumQayit FK

(Away)
10 Oct
SumQayit FK
4 : 1
Gabala
20 Sept
Kapaz
1 : 1
SumQayit FK
12 Sept
SumQayit FK
1 : 1
Shamakhi
06 Sept
Turan
2 : 1
SumQayit FK
31 Aug
SumQayit FK
0 : 1
Qarabag Agdam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Neftci Baku 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
2 Sabah Baku 6 5 1 0 14:1 16
3 Qarabag Agdam 5 4 1 0 9:4 13
4 Turan 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
5 Zira FK 7 3 2 2 8:9 11
6 Kapaz 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
7 Shamakhi 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
8 SumQayit FK 6 1 2 3 8:9 5
9 Gabala 7 1 1 5 3:11 4
10 Imisli FK 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
11 Safa Baku 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
12 Araz PFK 7 0 2 5 5:15 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa 2027/2028 (Main)