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Ziri vs Ljubljana Svoboda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ziri host Ljubljana Svoboda in the 3. SNL - West. Little to choose between these two on current form. Ljubljana Svoboda have shipped 2.17 goals a game lately, while Ziri have conceded 2.38 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Ziri slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.19) point toward Ziri. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Ziri
30%
Draws
0%
Ljubljana Svoboda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ziri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Ziri haven't matched Ljubljana Svoboda's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ziri's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ziri Clean Sheet 20%
Ljubljana Svoboda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ziri Ljubljana Svoboda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Ljubljana Svoboda
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Ziri
0:0
May 11, 2025 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Ljubljana Svoboda
4:0
Oct 26, 2024 3. SNL - West
Ljubljana Svoboda vs Ziri
3:1
Mar 16, 2024 3. SNL - West
Ziri vs Ljubljana Svoboda
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ziri 76 / 100
Ljubljana Svoboda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ziri Ljubljana Svoboda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ziri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ljubljana Svoboda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Ljubljana Svoboda lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Ziri's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ziri VS Ljubljana Svoboda
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ziri

(Home)
03 Oct
Ziri
1 : 2
Izola
27 Sept
Ziri
0 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
20 Sept
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Ziri
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
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Ljubljana Svoboda

(Away)
03 Oct
Tolmin
2 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
19 Sept
Dob
4 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
12 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
3 : 5
Fama Vipava
05 Sept
Adria Miren
4 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)