Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Zmaj Makarska vs OSK Otok

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Zmaj Makarska and OSK Otok finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zmaj Makarska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Zmaj Makarska
30%
Draws
34%
OSK Otok
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zmaj Makarska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Zmaj Makarska carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Zmaj Makarska taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 18%
OSK Otok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zmaj Makarska OSK Otok
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 0.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 28, 2022 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Zmaj Makarska
2:1
Nov 27, 2021 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs OSK Otok
3:1
May 29, 2021 3. HNL South
OSK Otok vs Zmaj Makarska
3:3
Nov 14, 2020 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs OSK Otok
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zmaj Makarska 36 / 100
OSK Otok 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zmaj Makarska OSK Otok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

OSK Otok has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Zmaj Makarska found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Zmaj Makarska has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Zmaj Makarska VS OSK Otok
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.88
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Zmaj Makarska

(Home)
03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2
NK Junak Sinj
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0
Zagora
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OSK Otok

(Away)
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Neretvanac
1 : 1
OSK Otok
14 May
OSK Otok
3 : 4
Urania Baska Voda
07 May
NK Junak Sinj
2 : 1
OSK Otok
01 May
OSK Otok
4 : 1
Kamen Podbablje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jadran Luka Ploce34205967:2865
2Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje341861056:3860
3Hrvace341861046:3960
4HNK Zadar341611769:2859
5Neretva341671150:3655
6RNK Split341571252:4052
7NK Junak Sinj341641449:4652
8Uskok Klis341561351:5451
9Sloga Mravince341214848:4550
10Primorac Biograd341461460:5648
11Zagora341281447:5244
12GOSK Dubrovnik3411101335:3443
13Zmaj Makarska3411101328:3943
14Neretvanac341081640:5338
15Kamen Podbablje349101537:5137
16Vodice34891744:7333
17Urania Baska Voda341032133:6533
18OSK Otok34682048:8326
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)