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Zmaj Makarska vs Vodice Prediction & H2H Stats

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL South game between Zmaj Makarska and Vodice finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Zmaj Makarska.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Zmaj Makarska
15%
Draws
36%
Vodice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zmaj Makarska

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Zmaj Makarska come out ahead of Vodice on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Zmaj Makarska taking it.
  • Regular 3. HNL South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Zmaj Makarska Clean Sheet 20%
Vodice Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Zmaj Makarska Vodice
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs Vodice
1:0
Oct 27, 2021 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Zmaj Makarska
2:2
Apr 24, 2021 3. HNL South
Zmaj Makarska vs Vodice
1:1
Oct 3, 2020 3. HNL South
Vodice vs Zmaj Makarska
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Zmaj Makarska 36 / 100
Vodice 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Zmaj Makarska Vodice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vodice has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Zmaj Makarska's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Away concern: Vodice has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Zmaj Makarska VS Vodice
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Zmaj Makarska

(Home)
03 Aug
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 2
NK Junak Sinj
28 May
OSK Otok
2 : 1
Zmaj Makarska
22 May
Zmaj Makarska
1 : 0
Primorac Biograd
15 May
GOSK Dubrovnik
1 : 0
Zmaj Makarska
07 May
Zmaj Makarska
0 : 0
Zagora
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Vodice

(Away)
09 Aug
Sibenik
1 : 2
Vodice
27 Jul
Vodice
1 : 3
HNK Zadar
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Hrvace
2 : 0
Vodice
21 May
Vodice
1 : 2
Neretva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jadran Luka Ploce 34 20 5 9 67:28 65
2 Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje 34 18 6 10 56:38 60
3 Hrvace 34 18 6 10 46:39 60
4 HNK Zadar 34 16 11 7 69:28 59
5 Neretva 34 16 7 11 50:36 55
6 RNK Split 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
7 NK Junak Sinj 34 16 4 14 49:46 52
8 Uskok Klis 34 15 6 13 51:54 51
9 Sloga Mravince 34 12 14 8 48:45 50
10 Primorac Biograd 34 14 6 14 60:56 48
11 Zagora 34 12 8 14 47:52 44
12 GOSK Dubrovnik 34 11 10 13 35:34 43
13 Zmaj Makarska 34 11 10 13 28:39 43
14 Neretvanac 34 10 8 16 40:53 38
15 Kamen Podbablje 34 9 10 15 37:51 37
16 Vodice 34 8 9 17 44:73 33
17 Urania Baska Voda 34 10 3 21 33:65 33
18 OSK Otok 34 6 8 20 48:83 26
Promotion - Prva NL 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)