Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Znamya Noginsk vs Sakhalin

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Bolshunov D.
16' Event
Matviychuk S.
57' Event
Matrakhov E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3 2023 game between Znamya Noginsk and Sakhalin finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sakhalin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Znamya Noginsk
39%
Draws
30%
Sakhalin
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sakhalin come out ahead of Znamya Noginsk on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Znamya Noginsk Clean Sheet 20%
Sakhalin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Znamya Noginsk Sakhalin
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.67 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2023 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Znamya Noginsk vs Sakhalin
2:3
May 15, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalin vs Znamya Noginsk
3:1
Apr 15, 2023 FNL 2 - Group 3
Znamya Noginsk vs Sakhalin
2:0
May 14, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Sakhalin vs Znamya Noginsk
1:1
Apr 10, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 3
Znamya Noginsk vs Sakhalin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Znamya Noginsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Matviychuk S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brovchuk V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sakhalin Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolshunov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matrakhov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Znamya Noginsk 32 / 100
Sakhalin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Znamya Noginsk Sakhalin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Znamya Noginsk's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sakhalin has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Znamya Noginsk went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Znamya Noginsk VS Sakhalin
1 Goals Scored 0.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Znamya Noginsk

(Home)
20 Aug
Veles Moscow
2 : 0
Znamya Noginsk
06 Aug
Znamya Noginsk
3 : 0
FK Kolomna
10 Feb
Znamya Noginsk
2 : 3
Baltika 2
11 Nov
Peresvet
1 : 2
Znamya Noginsk
05 Nov
Znamya Noginsk
2 : 3
Sakhalin
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Sakhalin

(Away)
03 Nov
Sakhalin
4 : 0
Arsenal Tula 2
27 Oct
Sakhalin
1 : 0
Penza
20 Oct
Sakhalin
1 : 0
Spartak Tambov
12 Oct
FK Kompozit
2 : 2
Sakhalin
06 Oct
Khimki 2
1 : 0
Sakhalin
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kaluga17123250:639
2Sakhalinets17113338:2136
3Spartak Tambov17103426:2233
4Dynamo Vladivostok17100730:2130
5Arsenal Tula 21786324:1630
6FK Kompozit1785428:2029
7Saturn Ramenskoye1792630:1829
8SKA Khabarovsk 21781830:2925
9Penza1774622:2625
10Kosmos1765624:2823
11Sakhalin1772816:1923
12Kvant Obninsk1765619:2723
13Znamya Noginsk1764718:2622
14Khimki 217611020:2819
15Ryazan17431024:2715
16Strogino Moscow1735928:3614
17FK Kolomna17151117:418
18Peresvet17211421:547
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2023/2024 (Spring Season)